Saturday, November 26, 2016

Obama's Legacy - The Good, The Bad & The Ugly

President Obama is a likeable guy, which is probably the reason his approval rating is around 50% or more at the same time when nearly 70% of the country believes that the United States is going in the wrong direction.   Obama sold himself as a change agent out to transform our country presumably into a European style Socialist democracy.  The only problem is that the United States is a center right country, which is probably the reason why during Obama's tenure, the American people have elected 33 Republican Governors out of 50, two thirds of state legislatures are now controlled by Republicans along with both Houses of Congress and the Presidency.  All of this is a complete repudiation of Obama's politically correct policies. 

As Obama leaves office, he is leaving the Democrat Party in shambles with no real bench for the future; though Trump proves that someone can come out of no where and run for the Presidency.  Rather than embrace Free Market Principles that are best at growing the economy, business and jobs, Obama supported Crony Capitalism rewarding big donors, raised taxes and added hundreds of job killing regulations that resulted in minimal GDP growth, nearly 50 million Americans on Welfare and Food Stamps, up 20 million since Obama was first elected and the highest poverty rate and the lowest labor participation rate in three decades.


In addition, Obama's weak foreign policy that began with his apology tour and the Russian reset has resulted in the spread of Terrorism around the world, the Middle East on fire, a resurgent Russia and an assertive China and North Korea.  The United States is not safer today than when Obama first took office. 

And, perhaps most important because Obama and the Democrats have used identity politics to win whatever elections they have won, the United States has never been so divided since the Civil War.  While Obama as the nation's first Black President could have been a unifying force for good, at every turn Obama and Hillary Clinton in the recent election have played to left wing interest groups and in the process not only turned off half the country; but created a genuine schism that could take years to heal.  

The result was the election of Donald Trump to the surprise of the Establishment of both political parties and the left wing media.  Every action has a reaction.   Trump is just the reaction to the politically correct world advocated by President Obama and other Democrats. 

While it will take many years for historians to analyze the Obama Presidency related to his rating in history, it is not looking too good today.  Of course, left wing historians will blame others for Obama's failures.  Obama had the makings of a great President.  However, Obama was probably too inexperienced and ideological to achieve his real potential.  Too bad, the Obama Presidency was a real lost opportunity to go down in history as one of our greatest Presidents.  Instead, the best that will be said of Obama is that he was our nation's first Black President.

Friday, September 23, 2016

Big Corporations In The US - Concentrations of Power

As a result of many mergers and acquisitions in the US, today the top 100 companies control of the economy has grown from 33% of Gross Domestic Product in 1994 to 46%.  The five largest banks account for 45% of banking assets up from 25% in 2000.   All of this is not good for America.   Mergers and Acquisitions to gain efficiencies, when consolidations occur has resulted in the loss of millions of good paying jobs.  And though these companies are very profitable, Middle Class incomes have not risen in the process, in real terms in the last twenty years, while benefits have been cut.   The fat cats have done very well in these deals; but it has not translated into wide spread benefit for the US economy. 

Though this CEO Blogger is a staunch supporter of Free Market Capitalism, I do not support Crony Capitalism where very large companies with thousands of paid lobbyists collude with Big Government to game the system making it almost impossible for new entrants in an industry to compete because they don't have paid lobbyists and have to play by the rules related to taxes and regulations.   Big companies buy exceptions by supporting corrupt politicians that will do their bidding in Congress.  We then see all sorts of actions that in some cases look and smell like fraud.  While the government goes through the motions to charge big companies fines, no one is ever convicted of a crime.  All of this ultimately erodes support for Free Market Capitalism, which we clearly see coming from the left in the United States and other countries and that is not good. 

While many of these huge companies are very diversified into lots of different industries, their market position in a particular industry may still be the largest in that industry because they continue to acquire smaller competitors to get even bigger.  This results in a lack of competition, which is not good for the American consumer because it always leads to higher prices and poorer service.   Just as in the early 1900's government had to deal with monopolies, it may be time again for government to scrutinize more closely many of these mergers and acquisitions to determine the longer term impact of these consolidations.   While generally this CEO Blogger supports a Free Market Economy,  there is a role for government to play when and if we what we end up with is less competition. 

Thursday, September 22, 2016

Many Politicians Do Not Understand The Workings Of Business

The CEO Blogger recently watched a hearing by a Congressional Committee of the House of Representatives where in which both Republican and Democrat Congressmen lambasted Heather Bresch, the CEO of Mylan, maker of the EpiPen injection device to deal with allergic reactions, for raising prices 548% in 9 years.  Prices were raised to $608 for a set of EpiPens.   This Blogger is not defending this price increase, nor opposing it because only Mylan understands its cost basis.

However, Mylan's CEO's tried to explain essentially the difference between a wholesale price and a retail price, which these Congressmen just could not seem to understand.   She stated that Mylan earned about $249 on the sale of a set of EpiPen's and that their gross profit was about $50.  The other monies of the $608 were essentially paid to hospitals and or other distributors in the process.   Bresch also went on to say that the consumer usually ended up paying around $50 - $100 for a set of EpiPens because of insurance coverage. 
 
Further, because people are scared to death to say anything under oath before Congress for fear of prosecution, Bresch should have defended this pricing, if it is valid, by saying that only 4 million EpiPens are sold each year because unlike insulin, which Diabetics take daily probably resulting in the sale of billions of doses around the world each year, the EpiPen is an emergency drug only used if a patient has an allergic reaction.  So, lower volume naturally results in higher prices. Even so, Mylan is coming out with a generic version, which will cut the cost in half. 

The point to all of this is that various Congressmen of both parties, some of whom have been in Congress for decades, were absolutely clueless as to the workings of business because they have never had their names at the bottom of a paycheck as a business owner.   They clearly do not understand things like direct costs, indirect costs, profit and loss.  Watching this foolish exercise, just proved to me once again how important term limits are for members of Congress.  Those making our laws should have to live under them. 

As it is now, we have a complete disconnect with business reality.   This is just another reason that Congress has a 76% Disapproval Rating.  Term Limits would result in more elected representatives with real life business experience, which might at least help them better understand the impact of their legislative actions that are often job killers. 

Many Politicians Do Not Understand The Workings Of Business

The CEO Blogger recently watched a hearing by a Congressional Committee of the House of Representatives where in which both Republican and Democrat Congressmen lambasted Heather Bresch, the CEO of Mylan, maker of the EpiPen injection device to deal with allergic reactions, for raising prices 548% in 9 years.  Prices were raised to $608 for a set of EpiPens.   This Blogger is not defending this price increase, nor opposing it because only Mylan understands its cost basis.

However, Mylan's CEO's tried to explain essentially the difference between a wholesale price and a retail price, which these Congressmen just could not seem to understand.   She stated that Mylan earned about $249 on the sale of a set of EpiPen's and that their gross profit was about $50.  The other monies of the $608 were essentially paid to hospitals and or other distributors in the process.   Bresch also went on to say that the consumer usually ended up paying around $50 - $100 for a set of EpiPens because of insurance coverage. 
 
Further, because people are scared to death to say anything under oath before Congress for fear of prosecution, Bresch should have defended this pricing, if it is valid, by saying that only 4 million EpiPens are sold each year because unlike insulin, which Diabetics take daily probably resulting in the sale of billions of doses around the world each year, the EpiPen is an emergency drug only used if a patient has an allergic reaction.  So, lower volume naturally results in higher prices. Even so, Mylan is coming out with a generic version, which will cut the cost in half. 

The point to all of this is that various Congressmen of both parties, some of whom have been in Congress for decades, were absolutely clueless as to the workings of business because they have never had their names at the bottom of paycheck as a business owner.   They clearly do not understand things like direct costs, indirect costs, profit and loss.  Watching this foolish exercise, just proved to me once again how important term limits are for members of Congress.  Those making our laws should have to live under them. 

As it is now, we have a complete disconnect with business reality.   This is just another reason that Congress has a 76% Disapproval Rating.  Term Limits would result in more elected representatives with real life business experience, which might at least help them better understand the impact of their legislative actions that are often job killers. 

Wednesday, September 21, 2016

The Shrinking Middle Class In The United States

The Middle Class in the United States has been declining for about twenty years.  Middle Class families are earning about the same money they earned years ago.   This has happened for a variety of reasons.   Mergers and Acquisitions have resulted in the elimination of good paying jobs as companies consolidated their operations.   Global competition, which can be brutal has made it impossible to raise prices, which has resulted in little or no wage increases in real terms.  And, what little wage increases have occurred in the last twenty years has often gone to pay for the increased cost of medical insurance and services resulting in little additional disposable family income. 

The fact is that it takes fewer people today to produce work because of technology.  When this CEO Blogger began my career in business as a young manager, nearly all managers had personal secretaries.  And, though those jobs may have been a secondary family income, they often came with great benefits that contributed to family well being.  That all changed by 1990 with the advent of the desk top computer and word processing at all employee's finger tips.  And, companies have continued to cut benefits to reduce costs.

Today, in the United States, there are about 95 million Americans out of the work force.  About half of them are on Welfare and Food Stamps.   The other half are people who can't find jobs because they often do not have marketable job skills and that could include young college graduates that simply have no work experience.  Further, millions of manufacturing jobs and even back office knowledge jobs have been off-shored to achieve lower costs, in some cases as the only means of maintaining profitability.  Those jobs used to result in a Middle Class life style.   Unless, the United States significantly reduces corporate income taxes, eliminates burdensome regulations and unleashes our energy sector to make the US energy independent, which is feasible given our natural resources, those jobs are gone forever.

This is not about income inequality.   The poor are not poor because the rich are rich.  The poor are poor because they are often poorly educated and lack marketable job skills.  The Middle Class is shrinking as much because of government actions as the other forces herein described. 

Tuesday, September 20, 2016

Terrorism & Business - The Old New Normal

We hear commentators speak of Terrorism as the New Normal not only impacting daily life; but presumably business. The fact is that acts of terrorism that have resulted in the deaths of thousands of Muslims, Christians, Jews, Hindus and non-believers have been going on for decades. The state of Israel has been dealing with terrorism, since is was founded at a Jewish state in 1948. Yet, the Israeli people have built a beautiful first world nation, while being surrounded by Arab Countries, including land in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip, controlled by the Palestinian Authority, where people live with pervasive corruption, poverty and misery.

Other Western countries too have been dealing with terrorism of one kind or another going back to the 1970's when airplanes were being hijacked and or the case of the Lockerbie 747 destroyed by Libyan terrorists, which resulted in the deaths of several hundred people over Scotland. In fact, this CEO Blogger was working in London for Merrill Lynch, two weeks after President Reagan ordered the bombing of Libya in retaliation. Just before I arrived, terrorists blew up the American Express office in London just down the street from our office.

So to be sure, terrorism is not new, so calling it the New Normal ignores the fact that Islamic Radicals have been at war with the West for many decades culminating in 9/11 that changed the world. And, with the exception of 9/11, which did cause a mild recession lasting about a year, business has continued as usual responding to economic fundamentals more than acts of terrorism. Again, with the exception of 9/11, the boom and bust cycles we have experienced in the last 35 years, including major recessions and stock market gyrations have had little to do with specific acts of terrorism and more to do with supply and demand, financial mismanagement and cyclical market forces. Sadly, terrorism may be a fact of life; but it is not new. 

Terrorism & Business - The Old New Normal

We hear commentators speak of Terrorism as the New Normal not only impacting daily life; but presumably business.  The fact is that acts of Terrorism that have resulted in the deaths of thousands of Muslims, Christians, Jews, Hindus and non-believers have been going on for decades.  The state of Israel has been dealing with Terrorism, since is was founded at a Jewish state in 1948.  Yet, the Israeli people have built a beautiful first world nation, while being surrounded by Arab Countries, including land in the West Bank and the Gaza Strip, controlled by the Palestinian Authority, where people live with pervasive corruption, poverty and misery. 

Other Western countries too have been dealing with Terrorism of one kind or another going back to the 1970's when airplanes were being hijacked and or the case of the Lockerbie 747 destroyed by Libyan Terrorists, which resulted in the deaths of several hundred people over Scotland.  In fact, this CEO Blogger was working in London for Merrill Lynch, two weeks after President Reagan ordered the bombing of Libya in retaliation.  Just before I arrived,  Terrorists blew up the American Express office in London just down the street from our office. 

So to be sure, Terrorism is not new, so calling it the New Normal ignores the fact that Islamic Radicals have been at war with the West for many decades culminating in 9/11 that changed the world.  And, with the exception of 9/11, which did cause a mild Recession lasting about a year,  business has continued as usual responding to economic fundamentals more than acts of Terrorism.  Again, with the exception of 9/11, the boom and bust cycles we have experienced in the last 35 years, including major Recessions and stock market gyrations have had little to do with specific acts of Terrorism and more to do with supply and demand, financial mismanagement and cyclical market forces.   Sadly, Terrorism may be a fact of life; but it is not new. 

Thursday, September 15, 2016

Greatest Transfer of Wealth Coming In World History

By 2026, we will see the greatest transfer of wealth in world history.   Baby Boomer Entrepreneurs that created this wealth, primarily by formation of private companies, will transfer about $3.9 Trillion in the US in inheritance to their Generation X and Millennial sons, daughters, grandchildren and perhaps other family members.  On a world wide basis this transfer of wealth will be more than $30 Trillion.  Of course, politicians and governments everywhere right now are scheming to confiscate their share of this hard earned wealth by various death and inheritance taxes, which is why Estate Planning is so essential.

The question is how many of these privately owned businesses will actually continue to be owned and run by family members.   The answer is probably not very many because Generation X and Millennials are just as likely to monetize their inheritance by selling companies as keep them.  There will always be bigger players in every industry more than willing to buy up successful smaller companies in their goal to grow by acquisition.  Since 70% of employees in the US work for these smaller companies, when these acquisitions take place, their lives will be impacted as well and not always for the best. 

Once the value of a company has been monetized, or converted into cash by family members, there is better than a 50/50 chance that the fruits of Dad's or Mom's years of labor will be gone forever.  What a shame; but maybe it is the circle of life.

Not always, but it could be that people need to start with nothing to create the drive, ambition and very hard work needed to build something great creating wealth in the process.  Very often wealth that comes too easy is taken for granted, which is never good.   In any case, this wealth transfer will take place.  The only question is will it result in a good or bad outcome; or most probably a little of both.  

Wednesday, September 14, 2016

Being Politically Correct in the Workplace

There is no doubt that the law prohibits any American company from discriminating on the basis of religion, race or sexual orientation in its business dealings.  There are also definitive laws dealing with Sexual and other forms of Harassment, which are justified given past grievances.  And, clearly though company management may have a specific political orientation be it Conservative, Moderate, Liberal, or even Socialist,  that belief system should have no impact on company decision making other than making decisions that are in the company's financial best interests.  It does however, seem that company's run by "progressives" can do, or say whatever they want without any consequences.  All of this said, we seem to live in such a Politically Correct world that having different opinions, that are protected by the Bill of Rights in the US Constitution, are under attack.  

To many, calling for smaller government, lower taxes, less regulations and adherence to free market capitalism, all Conservative Principles, are viewed by some as Racist, Xenophobic, Homophobic, Islamophobic and a whole lot of other names, which of course is ridiculous.  On university campuses there is a call for Safe Zones, where only Politically Correct Thought is acceptable.   Whatever happened to debating different ideas to develop critical thinking as part of a university education.  In any case, the Workplace is fast becoming a sterile zone, as well, where employees cannot discuss differing opinions for fear of offending someone. And, those who adhere to religious principles are shunned. 

It is very clear that while all companies must observe the law in all of our business dealings, we cannot and should not attempt to control what our employees think in a free society.  Of course that does not include Hate Speech that all would see as offensive; but it does include the freedom to practice one's religion, or no religion and belief system.  No employee should feel threatened by the PC police on the job, or anyplace else.  The United States is still a free country, the last time I checked.  Clearly, this is a situation where the rights of all must be balanced in accordance with the rights defined in the US Constitution. 

Monday, September 12, 2016

Free Trade - Winner & Losers

We hear a lot of talk about the good and bad of Free Trade in the current Presidential Election. Aside from what Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are saying, there is no doubt that Free Trade has created winners and losers. American Consumers in particular are big winners as a result of Free Trade. All those flat screen TV's and thousands of other items, if made in the United States, would be considerably more expensive and out of reach for many people.  So for people with good paying jobs, their standard of living has been increased by Free Trade. Certainly Baby Boomers, particularly those living in large cities, with college degrees and or marketable job skills have benefited from Free Trade. In a sense, many Baby Boomers have lived the good life because of Free Trade.

However, though American markets are generally open to all countries, we really have never had Free Trade because other countries have imposed tariffs on American goods entering their countries to protect their industries.  And or, currencies have been devalued to make other country's goods cheaper in the United States and our products more expensive in their countries.  This is particularly true related to China that makes it very difficult for foreign companies to do business in their country. Further, it is rare to see an American made car on the streets of Japan, though Japanese branded cars, many of them now made in the United States are all over our country.



Yes, Free Trade has benefited many Americans; but the dark side of Free Trade has been the millions of manufacturing jobs that have left our country in the past thirty years. Those jobs in the past provided Americans, with perhaps just a high school diploma, a middle class life style. In fairness, those jobs are gone not just because of Free Trade; but also because of automation and robotics. It just does not take as many people to produce any product in any country as it once did.  In addition, private sector unions demanding higher and higher wages and benefits and global competition forced many American companies to ship those jobs overseas.

Clearly, four things need to occur so that everyone benefits from Free Trade. First, we need Smart Trade not just Free Trade.   The US government must negotiate better trade deals to make sure other markets are truly open to American companies.  Second, there must be significant job training programs implemented at the Community College level to retrain displaced workers to do the jobs of the future. Third, those people who can't find good paying jobs locally must be willing to move to where the jobs are happening in states with business friendly environments that attract companies. And, finally fourth, we need an all of the above Energy Policy that encourages the use of Oil, Natural Gas, Clean Coal, Nuclear Energy and Renewables to both create good paying jobs that can't be off-shored and to make the United States Energy Independent.

Unfortunately, states with high taxes and burdensome regulations are job killers, not job magnates, so they will continue to lose good paying jobs no matter what is done to stop it. As such, people that can't find work locally must vote with their feet for the good of their families. If government needs to aide in this migration with some financial assistance or grants, it would be cheaper than providing Unemployment, Welfare, Food Stamps.  Most important, there is dignity in work, which is critical to family well being.

Sunday, September 11, 2016

Time To Look For A New Job - Not So Fast

Aside from many Millennials that are often job hoppers, more mature employees should think hard and fast before leaving a current job.  This CEO Blogger has seen many employees, both within our company and outside, make disastrous career decisions thinking the grass was greener someplace else.  The fact is that all companies experience good times and bad times requiring tough decisions that could impact current operations, so in the short term the grass may appear greener someplace else; but it can quickly turn to brown fields when bad times come, or management changes.   As someone who has been in Senior Management for more than 30 years, I have managed through at least three Recessions, the highest and lowest interest rates in American history, real estate downturns, the dot com boom and bust, 9/11, the Fiscal Collapse that began in 2007 and general economic upheaval that has always had an impact on business and employees.  It has never been fun; but it has been necessary.

And, many times when industries change, a complete company restructuring is necessary to reflect the new marketplace.  None of these things are unique because change is a part of everyday business life that will impact employees at every company, or within any industry.   So, if someone is leaving a job, specifically running from the change that is occurring, he or she will be sorely disappointed only to find that change happens at all companies if they are to survive.  Ironically, it is those employees who deal with change, that often comes during difficult times and adapt to it seeing in change opportunities that are the most successful and valuable in business.   They will have a long term future no matter where they work.

However, there are times when an employee should leave a company and seek another job; but not for the obvious reason, presumably more money.  If and when a company, or its management, violates legal or ethical principles, it is time to find another job because there is nothing more important than corporate integrity.   If the leadership of a company is blatantly incompetent and or only making decisions in its self interest, it could be time to look for another job.  If the business environment at a company has for some reason become poisonous and ugly, it is time to leave.  And finally, if and when the leadership of a company does not express a long term vision for success where in which learning can continue for its employees, it may be time to move on.

These are all the reasons, this CEO Blogger decided to move on to greener pastures in the four times in 42 years that I made a job change.  And, while in the process it always benefited me financially, more money was never the primary reason I left one job for another.  The bigger picture issues that I have identified were far more important in my personal career decisions.     

Saturday, September 10, 2016

ObamaCare Is Collapsing - Now What?

It may not matter if Republicans are ever able to repeal ObamaCare because it is collapsing of its own weight.   ObamaCare was predicated on smoke and mirrors, which assumed that healthy young people, not already getting health insurance from their employers, would buy health insurance on the ObamaCare Exchanges, with costly premiums and high deductibles to subsidize the older people with chronic illnesses, that are not already covered by their employers, that are buying health insurance on the Exchanges because they no longer have to worry about pre-existing conditions.   Of course, even with threat of fines, a sufficient number of young people passed on the offer because they are not stupid, so the insurance companies were left with a high risk population that actually requires coverage on a regular basis.

The end result is that many large health insurance companies, across the country, are pulling out of the ObamaCare Exchanges, which means fewer choices and even higher premiums because of less competition.  As such, ObamaCare is in a death spiral.   This may have been the intent of Democrat Socialists all along, who rammed through ObamaCare without one single Republican vote in Congress because their real goal is Medicare for all, in a single payer Socialized health care system that would put insurance companies, selling health insurance, out of business.  And, so that is exactly what they are proposing now as ObamaCare implodes.

Businesses, large and small and employees who already get health insurance coverage from their employers should absolutely opposed European Style Socialized Government Managed Health Care, which will lead to higher taxes, rationing of medical care and a lower level of care than exists in our private system.  We already have Socialized Medicine for Seniors at 65 or older, heading toward insolvency, which is means tested and requires supplemental insurance to be effective.  Vets are covered by the Veterans Administration and we have seen that story unfold as many of them have not been able to get quality care within a reasonable period of time because of the incompetence and corruption in that system.  And finally, the poor and or low income Americans are eligible for Medicaid, paid for by state and federal governments, or more importantly the American taxpayer.  Even if ObamaCare goes down in flames, these other systems are already in place.   We cannot allow Democrat Socialists in government to destroy the Private Medical system, applicable to the rest of us because even though it is costly, it does provide quality accessible care.     

Friday, September 9, 2016

Having A Million Dollars In Retirement

Frequently magazine articles are written about how to have a million dollars in retirement.  And, in fact, with some good planning that starts with the first good job at 25 years old, it is really not that hard to do provided there is a willingness to sacrifice for today to live well during retirement.  But even before, don't borrow money to pay for university expenses.   If parents cannot pay for university cost, go to a community college for the first two years and then transfer to the university of your dreams and work your way through school without incurring debt.  It is pretty obvious that no one in the US is going to live the good life on Social Security and Medicare alone assuming they are still around when many young people retire.  Instead, there are some basic things that can be done to get to a million dollars in retirement as follows:

1. One way or another save 10% of annual salary.  If your company provides a 401K match, put in the maximum to the match.  Make sure you have at least 6 months salary in a savings account to cover emergencies.  And, buy insurance to protect you from unexpected losses. 
2. Buy a home at the first opportunity, particularly when mortgage interest rates are low, to take advantage of cheap money.  Pay off a home before retirement so its value can be monetized when you downsize to a smaller home and or cheaper city. 
3.  Keep a new car for at least 10 years.   Studies show that people who lease a car their whole life will have $400,000 less in retirement than if they bought and kept a new car for 10 years.
4.  For employees that travel on business, take advantage of all the airline and hotel programs to gather points for free vacations. 
5.  If you can't do it alone, partner with others to invest in rental properties at the first opportunity. 
6.  Forget about buying the weekly Starbuck's Frapacinos for $5 a cup.  McDonald's coffee for 50 cents, or a buck is just fine. 
7.  Eat in at least 5 nights a week.  Take your lunch to work in a bag.
8. Don't waste too much money on liquor, particularly at bars or restaurants.  If you are going to have an occasional drink, do it at home.  It is safer and cheaper. 
9. Bargain shop.  If it is not on sale at a deep discount, don't buy it.  Forget about all the name brand hype.  A shirt is a shirt. 
10. Splurge on yourself and family once in a while; but not on a regular basis.


If you practice these 10 simple rules, the odds are pretty good, you will end up as a millionaire in retirement.   If not, you are out of luck. 

Thursday, June 30, 2016

Baby Boomers Impact On Business & The US

78 million Baby Boomers are turning 65 at the rate of 10,000 a day for next 18 - 20 years.   Presumably, this huge demographic will begin collecting Social Security and Medicare, assuming they remain solvent, transferring about $46 Trillion of wealth from the federal government to these recipients.  In essence, instead of paying taxes into the system, most of them will begin taking their money out.  Of course, both Social Security and Medicare are headed toward insolvency unless Congress and the President, whoever he or she may be does something to modify these programs, one way or another.  

In any case, since this group is the largest single demographic in American history, their retirement will have a huge impact on global business and the US in general.  There is a good likelihood that half or more of these Baby Boomers are financially ill prepared to retire because they did little to save for retirement during their working years.  These people will have little disposable income depending on government and relatives, if they are lucky enough to have any with money, for their sustenance.  They probably will be living in smaller rental units because in many cases, they never paid off a home.  The smarter half, if it is half, may have the money to live happily ever after so to speak, assuming they are not supporting their kids in one way or another and or that government does not attempt to confiscate their assets to support those with nothing.  

It is the Baby Boomer half with money that will help shape the global economy in terms of their buying habits.  If they were smart they paid off their homes; but not all of them did so.  Some are still paying off mortgages, which will take a lot of their disposable income.  If their homes are paid off, they will spend money on experiences; travel, eating out, golf and other recreational activities, spending time with family out etc.   However, their need for new cars, new homes,  new furniture, new clothing etc will be limited.

By the time these Baby Boomers are 75, they will start to utilize home care and eventually assisted living services converting their home equity and other invested monies into the services they need to continue living life.   If they did not do so already, they will downsize their homes one way or another either moving to smaller houses and or moving into assisted living facilities.  There will also be a shift from many high cost cities to lower cost second tier smaller cities.  The Home Care and Assisted Living industries, built to deal with the World War II Generation, is already a Multi-Billion industry and it has not even started.  After a ten year lull, these industries will boom beginning in 2025 as Baby Boomers have need of these services. 

It is clear that 78 million Baby Boomers will have a significant impact on business and the US in retirement; but in very different ways than when they were working.  Happy Hour may start a lot earlier than 4 pm.  Cars that can drive themselves will be in demand; but instead of owning two, or three cars, there will one in a household.  The need for living space will be diminished as services will become much more important.  Businesses that adapt to this demographic will do very well. Those that do nothing to adapt will see their revenues shrink.    

Monday, June 27, 2016

Bigger Government Bad For Business

There is no doubt that Bigger Government is bad for business. In fact, bigger government grows through higher taxes and other revenue generation and more regulations at the expense of the Private Sector. We have clearly seen this during the Obama years as taxes and regulations have expanded dramatically resulting in higher government spending and very slow economic expansion of 2% or less each year that is not keeping up with population growth. Local, State and Federal Government spending now comprise nearly 40% of Gross Domestic Product about the highest in American history.  Of the roughly $15 Trillion US economy, government is responsible for about $6 Trillion in spending for goods and services. To make these purchases, government at all levels confiscates private sector monies in the form of income taxes, all sorts of fees and fines and further borrows billions more to fund government operating and other expenses. This is money taken out of the economy that is not available in the Private Sector to invest monies to create jobs.   It really is that simple.

Many economists have stated that the best economic growth in the US occurs when total government spending is around 25 - 27% of GDP. That is about 17-18% Federal and perhaps 10% Local and State. Even though the American people are experiencing a very high tax burden and regulations that are killing jobs and it has led to about 95 million people out of workforce, the lowest labor participation rate in four decades and the highest poverty rate since Jimmy Carter was President, Progressives call for even higher taxes and more job killing regulations.

Apparently, they never learned the lessons of Economics 101, or just plain common sense.  In order for the US economy to grow at the 3% or more a year, the rate needed to experience any kind of real economic vitality in our country, we must cut taxes and regulations dramatically. Just doing more of the same will lead to the same dismal economic results we have seen since the Fiscal Collapse in 2008-09. We also have to free up the Energy Sector to make energy cheaper and cleaner to raise the standard of living in the United States. This is not brain surgery. Government has to get out of the way and allow the Private Sector to do what is does best and that is to create economic growth and jobs.  As a side note, Big Government is also a threat to our Freedoms. 

Sunday, June 26, 2016

Brexit - Good For Great Britain

The British people wisely voted to leave the European Union.  In doing so, they cast aside more than 100,000 pages of stifling, job killing regulations that were a threat to their freedom and economic development.  The European Union, which should have simply been a Free Trade Zone and a vehicle for a common currency, morphed into another huge layer of Socialist government attempting to dictate regulations, written by unelected and unaccountable bureaucrats, that intrude into all aspects of daily life. In fact, the British people were losing control of THEIR borders and their country as more than 60% of regulations where completely out of their control.  Despite the short term dislocation from Brexit, in the long term Great Britain and the British people will be far better off by taking back their country.   

This decision has the potential for putting the word "Great" back into the name Great Britain.  Let's not forget that Great Britain is the 5th largest economy in the world.   They have been a global power for more than 500 years.  They don't need bureaucrats from little countries, with little economic success, dictating job killing regulations and or trade policy to them.  Most important, Great Britain is still a member of NATO, far more important than the EU, the G7 and has a permanent seat on the UN Security Council, all of which means that their voice will be heard loud and clear and with more impact than ever than just being one of 28 countries.  

The British people, through their elected representatives are now free to turn Great Britain into a business powerhouse by lowering taxes and getting rid of job killing regulations.   They are fortunate in that London, as business, financial, transportation and entertainment world class city is going no where. From London, Great Britain can attract companies from all over the world to move their headquarters there as they vote with their feet to get out of the European Union, as well as,  other countries seeking a more advantageous business environment.   History is our teacher.
Great Britain can now act in its best interests to bring jobs to their country and to control its borders so that immigration is not automatic.  All the way around, Brexit will be good for Great Britain, the British people and the world.   

Wednesday, March 2, 2016

Employee Benefits - The Real Cost

Many times, employees do not understand their total cost to a company.  In addition to normal base salary or hourly rates, plus any other commission, bonuses or incentives, various benefits add significant cost to hiring an employee.  Right off the bat, in the United States, employers get hit with 7.65% of total salary for Social Security and Medicare before any other benefits are added.  Paid sick time, vacation and holidays are not free either, since the employee is actually being paid for not working those days.   Many companies pay for some portion of medical and dental benefits and sometimes match 401K contributions and other benefits.  

So, when we speak of the full load, we must add all these other costs into the configuration.  Depending on family size, benefits and employee contributions, the full load can be 20% - 40% of the employee's salary to form the total cost of compensation and benefits.   This is the reason why adding additional employees to any company should be a serious discussion.  In our company, this CEO Blogger approves all new hire and replacement hire decisions, since in a service company like ours, people make up 70% of our expense line. 

Most important, it is easier to add benefits as a business grows than to take them away in bad times.  However, it might be best when times are good not to add new benefits, paid by the company, at all.  Instead, companies are now adding what are called Voluntary Benefits, which could include all sorts of goods and services convenience packaged that can be offered employees at no risk, or cost to the company.   This is a better way to go than adding costly benefits, paid for by the company, that in bad times are often eliminated. 

Tuesday, March 1, 2016

Raising The Federal Minimum Wage - A Bad Idea

We often hear calls from liberal politicians and unions for raising the $7.25 federal minimum wage.  It would be a very bad idea.  First of all, a very small percentage of Americans are actually paid the federal minimum wage because while employers in states and cities cannot not pay less than the federal minimum wage, these localities often have higher minimum wages in place.   Further, many lower skilled, under-educated employees are paid more than minimum wage because of market forces that require higher wages  to attract workers.  So, even fast food companies and retailers that typically pay lower wages are not paying minimum wage to most of their employees.

Minimum wage, which should be defined by states and even locally based on cost of the living for the area, is usually paid to Americans in entry level jobs and often to young people in part time work.   Those who call for a federal minimum wage of $15 an hour, if ever enacted, would be a job killer.  Those in manufacturing jobs in the US are competing with workers in foreign countries that are often paid $5 a hour fully loaded.   Moving the minimum wage up to $15, which would presumably move wages up across the board, would just result in even more jobs being pushed overseas as has been happening for 20 years as a result of union demands for higher and higher compensation and benefits in the US.  About 3 million manufacturing jobs in the US are now overseas because unions pushed and pushed for higher wages and benefits to the point that they made no sense. 

In addition, at $15 a hour companies that cannot off shore jobs, would just bring in more automation.  We are seeing it now as stores like Home Depot and Lowe's now have self check out stands with one employee manning 4 stations.   It would be very easy to turn fast food registers into self service, with the customer placing the order and one employee taking the money for four registers.   If the minimum wage is raised too high, companies will find ways to eliminate labor cost.   So, those that keep pushing for a higher federal minimum wage will do a disservice to the very people they are trying to help.

Higher labor cost would just be passed on to the customer.  A higher federal minimum wage would mean higher prices as Wal Mart and or for goods and services in our country.  It would result in an even lower standard of living for the working poor.  A better idea is improving our education system so that those with little or no job skills, or education gain both so that they will be paid a whole lot more than the minimum wage. 

Wednesday, February 3, 2016

The Challenges of Managing Different Businesses

Perhaps the biggest challenge for a CEO is managing different businesses, since it is not uncommon for a holding company to own a number of subsidiaries that may, or may not be related.   While each business may have a life of its own with different compensation plans and even personalities, it is the CEO's job to meld a common culture based on the company's core values.  And further, since resource allocations are always involved, the CEO is ultimately perhaps the only person in the company that can balance the interests of all employees, clients and customers, particularly when various managers fail to see the big picture because of a narrow focus.

Managing any business is about long term success, not short term gains.  Since there will always be business cycles where one business is up and another is down, it is important to recognize that we grow a company as a team, not as individual contributors.  That is never tested more than during bad times when tough decisions are required.  Long term employees get it always demonstrating business maturity.  Short term employees will never get it.

The fact is that in any company's history, there will be good years and bad years.  As someone who has successfully managed through multiple Recessions, the Dot Com Bust, 9/11, the lowest and highest interest rates in American history and the Fiscal Collapse of 2008, I can say that good managers perform best in bad times.  Bad managers are usually gone one way or another.  In managing different businesses within one company, it is critical to forge one company culture, while recognizing industry differences.

That culture cannot be built on selfish interests.  Though selfish interests may result in short term gains, they cannot be the basis for long term success. Further, while it would be great if it was the case for all employees, at a minimum, all senior managers must understand the big picture to bring value to a company.  It can't work any other way.